"...we perform an analysis of all pertinent experiments within the framework of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Considering equally all available CMIP5 models, the probability of crossing the 2 °C target before the year 2100 is 26, 86, and 100% for the Representative Concentration Pathways 2.6 (RCP2.6), 4.5 (RCP4.5), and 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenarios, respectively, with the median years of 2054 for RCP4.5 and 2042 for RCP8.5."It's looking more inevitable all the time....
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
When Will We Pass 2 °C?
Here's an interesting result, from Jiang, Sui and Lang -- the time when global temperatures will past 2°C, based on each RCP:
Posted by David Appell at 2/17/2016 11:32:00 AM