tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post194640288635859895..comments2024-03-19T07:10:27.303-07:00Comments on Quark Soup by David Appell: Selection Bias Goes Both WaysDavid Appellhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03318269033139447591noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-48760125848079207712012-04-03T05:25:49.757-07:002012-04-03T05:25:49.757-07:00Also consider that there is nothing biased (not in...Also consider that there is nothing biased (not in a political sense anyway) about Hoerling's analysis. It merely asks different questions than what fractional attribution studies (eg Ramsdorf) do. One is using a model to estimate how much of the temperature increase can be attributed to GHG (Hoerling). <br /><br />Others (Ramsdorf, Stott, Trenberth) look at how often that this type of event can be expected in a warming world. <br /><br />Otto 2012 says these types of analysis are not contradictory.<br />http://www.knmi.nl/publications/fulltexts/2011gl050422pip.pdf<br /><br />It follows logically that a model designed to look at temp differences would not include reasons for meteorological events like blocking, as described in the link I gave in my last comment.<br /><br />--grypoAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-7864993724216410972012-04-03T05:14:22.678-07:002012-04-03T05:14:22.678-07:00Dave,
Blocking may be attributable to Arctic Ampl...Dave,<br /><br />Blocking may be attributable to Arctic Amplification (and sea ice loss), according to a few new studies. Masters has a post on this. Notice the links within.<br /><br />http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2065<br /><br />-- grypoAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-5361855560792905602012-04-02T18:49:51.324-07:002012-04-02T18:49:51.324-07:00Sometimes words get in the way. Marty is a "c...Sometimes words get in the way. Marty is a "climatologist" though he has a PhD from a meteorology department and a job title of "meteorologist."<br /><br />http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/martin.hoerling/<br /><br />In fact, I can't identify a single paper of his that would fall under "meteorology":<br />http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/martin.hoerling/vitae.html<br /><br />The full NOAA report is better than the WP summary anyway:<br />http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/csi/events/2012/marchheatwave/index.htmlRoger Pielke, Jr.https://www.blogger.com/profile/04711007512915460627noreply@blogger.com