tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post7899029305383088139..comments2024-03-19T07:10:27.303-07:00Comments on Quark Soup by David Appell: But the Trend is Still Up!David Appellhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03318269033139447591noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-5401115419404987322017-02-23T06:41:23.712-08:002017-02-23T06:41:23.712-08:00FWIW, I tend to agree with you. The change is alm...FWIW, I tend to agree with you. The change is almost too large and too quick to be anything other than noise. But out of curiosity, what would it take before you would suspect that this is not just noise but actually a change in the trend? Layzejhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11346550512734519728noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-86002541071467801752017-02-22T00:27:48.593-08:002017-02-22T00:27:48.593-08:00Gerald Meehl has made a prediction that the return...Gerald Meehl has made a prediction that the return of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation to a positive phase will lead to a downturn in average Antarctic Sea Ice extent. I read this somewhere and cannot now find where. But here is Meehl's paper.<br /><br />https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4895720/<br /><br />This would indeed be natural variability, it will be interesting to see how the long term trend pans out.<br /><br />Tobyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02755923759289978768noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-60414718870671602032017-02-20T21:50:57.619-08:002017-02-20T21:50:57.619-08:00Harry: If I had to bet, I would bet to agree with ...Harry: If I had to bet, I would bet to agree with you.David Appellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03318269033139447591noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-13710296776114104332017-02-20T21:48:02.617-08:002017-02-20T21:48:02.617-08:00I am hedging my bets and say the downturn in Antar...I am hedging my bets and say the downturn in Antarctic sea ice extent is natural variation. 2016 was an unusual year with the El Nino and the very warm Indian ocean. Total speculation on my part of course.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11872802685104293884noreply@blogger.com