tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post7969174297514158169..comments2024-03-19T07:10:27.303-07:00Comments on Quark Soup by David Appell: March 2010 Also a Record Warm MonthDavid Appellhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03318269033139447591noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-45661103683509655212010-04-01T13:35:02.307-07:002010-04-01T13:35:02.307-07:00R.H.Hardin is my real bonafide name.
You can goog...R.H.Hardin is my real bonafide name.<br /><br />You can google it.rhhardinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06901742898653890646noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-76666204724613096582010-04-01T11:31:05.338-07:002010-04-01T11:31:05.338-07:00> You can't tell a long cycle from a > t...> You can't tell a long cycle from a > trend with a time interval short <br />> relative to the cycle you wish to <br />> exclude, no matter how good your <br />> data is.<br /><br />I never said it could. I was reporting a 1-month result.<br /><br />The rest of your comment is, as usual, gibberish. Bullshit mocked up to appear intelligent. I wonder how many of your vast and bold insights have been submitted to the scientific literature, and why you're afraid to sign your posts with your real name.David Appellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03318269033139447591noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-45479742974555242802010-04-01T10:58:42.716-07:002010-04-01T10:58:42.716-07:00Cherry-picking to get the result they want is the ...Cherry-picking to get the result they want is the charge.<br /><br />You can't tell a long cycle from a trend with a time interval short relative to the cycle you wish to exclude, no matter how good your data is.<br /><br />That's because the noise gain grows exponentially large when you try.<br /><br />The hockey stick bypassed that by not being a possible cycle.<br /><br />Since the demise of the hockey stick owing to that cherry picking, it's back to basics.<br /><br />You can't tell a trend from a cycle, and a cycle obviously can't be man-caused.<br /><br />So the correct conclusion is that nobody knows, which is the state we were in before all this started.<br /><br />The question might come up why the alarm started. I'd suggest it was attracted by funding.<br /><br />Alarms, like computer models, grow in the direction of funding.rhhardinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06901742898653890646noreply@blogger.com