tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post8706972369735212725..comments2024-03-19T07:10:27.303-07:00Comments on Quark Soup by David Appell: Probability 2014 is Warmest Year = 66%David Appellhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03318269033139447591noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-59550454694446290712015-01-17T10:08:32.055-08:002015-01-17T10:08:32.055-08:00So summing the top five most likely years accordin...So summing the top five most likely years according to NOAA gives a 90% chance one of them is the hottest.<br /><br />And of all the years, the chance that 2014 was the hottest is considerably greater (>2x) than the chance that the second most likely year 2010 was the hottest instead.<br /><br />+0.69 ± 0.09 can run both ways. The anomaly could be as high as +0.78Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12083190014669867976noreply@blogger.com