tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post251431544728658579..comments2024-03-19T07:10:27.303-07:00Comments on Quark Soup by David Appell: Dangerous Warming in RussiaDavid Appellhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03318269033139447591noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-13873931598885356592020-06-18T04:49:53.534-07:002020-06-18T04:49:53.534-07:00The article did not say that there was no noticeab...<i>The article did not say that there was no noticeable increase in blocking, but that there was no significant increase in blocking.</i><br /><br />Fair point. It's worth noting though that In general, models “predict a general decrease in blocking occurrence in the future”Layzejhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11346550512734519728noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-34795511253681648682020-06-17T15:14:36.953-07:002020-06-17T15:14:36.953-07:00Layzeg
Not quite.
The article noted that there w...Layzeg<br /><br />Not quite.<br /><br />The article noted that there was considerable short term variability in the amount and frequency of blocking.<br /><br />The article did not say that there was no noticeable increase in blocking, but that there was no significant increase in blocking.<br /><br />Decoding the scientist-speak, they are saying that we see more blocking lately, but we don't yet know whether this is just normal variation or whether there is a real cause.<br /><br /><br />Entropic manhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08924031505275303068noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-78672317012772336312020-06-17T14:44:02.456-07:002020-06-17T14:44:02.456-07:00The Carbon Brief suggests that persistent high-pre...The Carbon Brief suggests that <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/jet-stream-is-climate-change-causing-more-blocking-weather-events" rel="nofollow">persistent high-pressure “blocking” weather systems are responsible</a>. <br /><br />They go on to ask "what are the prospects for blocking events in a warming climate? And could a rapidly warming Arctic also have a role to play?"<br /><br />To which they answer "Blocking hasn't noticeably changed as the planet has warmed." and "Maybe".Layzejhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11346550512734519728noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-38970212530931804052020-06-17T13:31:17.629-07:002020-06-17T13:31:17.629-07:00Sigma for this data is about 0.35C according to th...Sigma for this data is about 0.35C according to the error bars<br /><br />The most recent value is about 2.4C above the trend.<br /><br />6.9 sigmas?<br /><br />Entropic manhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08924031505275303068noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-54525325687231439542020-06-17T13:14:11.625-07:002020-06-17T13:14:11.625-07:00Any idea how large the anomaly is in terms of a lo...Any idea how large the anomaly is in terms of a local variance in temperature? Is this a +3 σ event? + 4 σ?OnymousGuyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09132474758071908026noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-15756294713100608842020-06-17T13:01:51.124-07:002020-06-17T13:01:51.124-07:00This comment has been removed by the author.OnymousGuyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09132474758071908026noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28837843.post-85998699182167344522020-06-17T12:09:10.396-07:002020-06-17T12:09:10.396-07:00There are consequences.
For example, a recent oil...There are consequences.<br /><br />For example, a recent oil spill in Russia has been attributed to melting permafrost.<br /><br />https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-52977740Entropic manhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08924031505275303068noreply@blogger.com