I was going to cover it, but when the lead author told me that the study only cast doubts to estimates of how much drought has increased so far, but not on projections for the future, which are made using models that don't rely strongly on the Palmer index.
Seemed to me, and to several independent sources I spoke with, that a backward-looking result with few if any forward-looking implications was kind of underwhelming
I was going to cover it, but when the lead author told me that the study only cast doubts to estimates of how much drought has increased so far, but not on projections for the future, which are made using models that don't rely strongly on the Palmer index.
ReplyDeleteSeemed to me, and to several independent sources I spoke with, that a backward-looking result with few if any forward-looking implications was kind of underwhelming
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