El Niño Projections Are Growing

Here are NOAA's latest El Niño predictions, for the Niño3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies. (Recall, the 1997-98 El Niño saw these anomalies peak at 2.8°C, about twice these model projections.) They've increased a few tenths of a degree compared to those of a month ago.)

NOAA now puts the chance of an El Niño later this summer at "exceeding 65%."