...it needs only an average anomaly of +0.58°C for the last three months of the year -- or 0.23°C below its average year-to-date.
So far this year, no month has dropped anywhere close to that.
Year-to-date, 2015 is +0.07°C above the second-highest year, 2014. And it's +0.13°C above 1998. which once seems so extreme.
And the NCEP/NCAR daily anomalies are showing October so far as much warmer than any month in the last year!!
ReplyDeleteHappening upon your blog via Stoat...
ReplyDeleteCoincidentally I've been musing about the same issue.
http://dosbat.blogspot.co.uk/2015/10/a-high-probability-of-2015-record-for.html