Trump's Approval Rating Points to His Defeat

Henry Olsen in the Washington Post writes that (and I've read this elsewhere) "historically, presidents who run for reelection receive a share of the popular vote that is remarkably close to their final job approval rating."

The RealClearPolitics polling average has tracked Trump’s job approval throughout his presidency. He is the first president to have never received a 50 percent rating; indeed, he has never come close. Trump’s highest marks came this year between March 26 and April 2, when he topped 47 percent. As of Sunday morning, his job approval stood at 45 percent in the RealClearPolitics average. Given that there won’t be as much third-party voting this time around, that just won’t be good enough to win.

Here are some charts comparing Trump's approval ratings throughout his presidency to the first terms of each president going back to Jimmy Carter:

Trump's rating is below everyone who won a second term.

Later I'll post about how Trump is apparently planning to steal the election.