Musk said he believed A.I. would be smarter than any individual human in the next year or two, and predicted that A.I. would be smarter than all humans combined by 2029 or 2030. He said he thought there was an 80 percent chance that A.I. would have a “good outcome,” and that there was a 20 percent chance of “annihilation.”
- Elon Musk, interview with Joe Rogan, covered by the New York Times March 3, 2025. (free link)
2 comments:
I've done a few things where the odds of dying were 1 in 500 and thought they were worth the risk.
Betting the extinction of humanity with odds of 1 in 5 is just insane.
That's exactly what I was thinking. 1 in 5! Crazy.
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