Monday, November 22, 2021


Try to hold down your breakfast.

Friday, November 19, 2021

About Gas Prices

Paul Krugman posted a graph that I wish I had thought of:

Everyone is complaining that gas prices are high, and they are for the last few years, but they really aren't for the last 10 years or so, when adjusted for inflation:

This is weekly data on gas prices from EIA's This Week in Petroleum, adjusted for inflation via the Consumer Price Index. Gas prices were high during the Bush Jr administration -- probably a feature, not a bug -- and then after the financial crisis. 

But it appears, from Krugman's graph, that presidents don't have much, if any, influence on gas prices -- they're set quite deterministically from the price of oil. 

Wednesday, November 17, 2021

NASA GISS: 4th Warmest October; Warmest on Land

Tuesday, November 16, 2021

Frustrations and Highlights

Superstar Sidney Crosby of the Pittsburgh Penguins is having a rough start to the NHL season. He needed wrist surgery right before the preseason started, missing several of the first regular season games, then after one game back got COVID and missed several more games. In his first game back, down 5-1 to the Washington Capitals on Sunday night, he took out his frustration on Capitals defenseman Martin Fehervary:

No penalty called on Crosby, nor did the NHL Department of Player Safety fine or suspend him. In fairness, Crosby gets pummeled on plenty and it only gets noticed when he fights back. The days of goons and enforcers who once protected the likes of Wayne Gretzky are long gone.

I wish my job had some similar outlet for my frustrations.

A couple other highlights from Sunday.

Connor McDavid doing the kind of thing Sidney Crosby used to do:

and an amazing save from Tampa Bay goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy:

Sunday, November 14, 2021

Divergence of Lower Troposphere Warming Measurements

This is a graph of the difference in warming of the lower troposphere as measured by the RSS research group compared to UAH (University of Alabama at Huntsville). The divergence continues to widen. 

The quality/resolution of the graph is terrible, unless you click on it. I'm posting this also so I can complain about it on the Blogger Forum. Not that I expect them to change. Why show a low resolution figure when clearly they store the full resolution image? I don't get it. Wish I could easily transition my blog to another platform -- Wordpress I guess -- but by now I have over 15 years of posts.

Sorry for whining. This is dispiriting.

Friday, November 12, 2021

The Business of America

 Calvin Coolidge said  “The business of America is business!” He didn't say its business is people. 

Thursday, November 11, 2021

Greta Didn't Invent "Blah Blah Blah"

Greta Thunberg has received a lot of attention for her "blah blah blah" admonition towards those negotiating climate agreements -- not without cause -- and, my favorite, some activists have taken to calling the diplomats "bleaders." Sounds sheep-like, too. Nice.

But it turns out "blah blah blah" isn't original with Thunberg -- it goes all the way back to COP1, the first Conference of the Parties in Berlin in 1995. This is from How to Blow Up a Pipeline by Andreas Malm:

Saturday, November 06, 2021

Tuvalu Addresses COP26

Of course, we're all supposed to accept this a necessary for our lifestyle:

Some Basic Evidence for Manmade Climate Change

I think it's often worth pointing out evidence of basic predictions and expectations for anthropogenic climate change, and here are a couple, both from "Vapor Storms" by Jennifer Francis in the November 2021 issue of Scientific American:

The increase in water vapor, as a result of a warmer atmosphere:

By the way, there's 1.27e16 kg of water vapor in the atmosphere, on average, or an average of 24.9 kg/m2. (That's 0.25% of the atmosphere's mass, or 3,970 ppm by mole. Interestingly, that's only equivalent to 2.5 cm (1 inch) of equivalent sea level rise.) So an increase of about 0.9 kg/m2 (as it looks from the graph, weighting between land an ocean) is 3.6%. Half the predicted 7% per °C of warming predicted by the Clausius-Claperyon equation. Not sure why. 

Increase in extreme rainfall in the US:

Source for both: Jennifer Francis, "Vapor Storms," Scientific American 325, 5, 26-33 (November 2021). http://doi:10.1038/scientificamerican1121-26.

Monday, November 01, 2021

Insult from World Leaders at Trevi Fountain

I'm sorry, but this little gesture is pretty damn stupid and insulting. These leaders of the free world have more power than anyone, at least nominally. Why do they need "luck" to address climate change? They need to use their power to bring forth initiatives, policies, regulations and laws!

Also, whatever media handlers allowed this episode and photograph should be fired. What a dumb message it sends.

Yes I know about the Trevi Foundation tradition (though it's not for luck).

Tuesday, October 26, 2021

Florida's Surgeon General LOL

Florida's Surgeon General Joseph Ladapo won't say if he's vaccinated against COVID-19.

That's how far Republicans are going to make political hay out of the pandemic. Because that's all they're doing.

History will record these people as not just fools, but malicious, craven fools. I kind of wish I had the chance to write it.

But at least someone has rightly told him to go to hell:

Ladapo’s pass on his own vaccination status comes after state Sen. Tina Polsky (D-Boca Raton) kicked him out of her office last week for refusing to wear a face mask. Polsky announced in August her battle with stage 1 breast cancer. Florida Politics was the first to report that she told Ladapo and two of his Florida Department of Health aides to leave after they refused to don masks during a meeting inside the Capitol last week.

About That $100 Billion a Year

I got something wrong a few days ago, about developed countries pledging $100 billion in climate aid to developing countries via COP.

It's $100 billion total, for all countries, not per country.

That makes a lot more sense.

From Bloomberg Green:

A blueprint for how developed countries will contribute $100 billion a year to poor nations confronting climate change is set to be unveiled on Monday despite objections from the U.S. and other nations that almost derailed the announcement.

The plan is seen as critical to the success of the United Nations COP26 climate summit scheduled to begin Oct. 31 in Glasgow, Scotland. Rich nations have fallen short of their 2009 pledge to collectively deliver $100 billion annually to help poor countries confront climate change, shift to clean energy and build resilience. And without more money, some developing nations, such as Bangladesh and Indonesia, have said they can’t step up their climate pledges.

Developed countries were roughly $20 billion below the $100 billion target in 2019, the last year for which totals have been released.

The U.S. had objected to a plan to make up for shortfalls in previous donations with higher contributions in future years, according to three people familiar with the matter who asked for anonymity to describe private negotiations. Details of how the matter was settled weren’t immediately available but the people confirmed that an announcement, which had been expected this week, would be made Monday....

President Joe Biden last month committed the U.S. to provide $11.4 billion in climate finance annually by 2024. And Congress is on track to spend between $2.8 billion and $3.1 billion on climate finance in fiscal 2022. Yet that still leaves the U.S. lagging well behind other developed nations in meeting its share of the target.

Whether -- and how -- to account for continued shortfalls this year and last so that finance still reaches a $100 billion annual average between 2020 and 2025 has been a major sticking point in negotiations, said the people. The U.S. was among nations concerned about the ability of the group to collectively increase contributions in future years to compensate, the people said.