Wednesday, July 08, 2026

Various Bullet Points

I was wrong on this post from 2 days ago: the El Niño is already here. NOAA called it on June 11.

###

Capitalism at its most rapacious: a women was kicked off a plane for someone who paid more for her seat. Happened in the US, of course.

###

The January 2025 fires in Los Angeles burned an area equivalent to a square 9.5 miles on a side. 51 deaths, 18,000 homes and other structures destroyed. Journalists could start calling these events "heat bombs," the deaths from very extreme heat. 

###

The Athletic:

The city of Buenos Aires, it found, had a disproportionately high number of therapists; 222 of them per 100,000 people. The United States, in comparison, had 30.

When you watch Argentina play, you can understand why. After every game, you need to talk to someone. You have to share what you’ve been through. “Am I losing my mind? Is this normal? How do I cope?”

One minute, you’re on the floor. Down and depressed. The next, you’re in heaven. Euphoric. The adrenaline. The dopamine. It’s a natural psychedelic. It’s no surprise Argentinians follow their national team everywhere. This is more than patriotism. It’s an addiction. Everyone tells you it’s not healthy. You know you should stop. But nothing has made you feel this way before, and you crave that feeling again and again and again.

The feeling hit hard in Atlanta on Tuesday.

Tuesday, July 07, 2026

The European Heat Bomb

CarbonBrief says the recent European heat bomb killed 2,700 people in France. 

Maybe that's what these extreme events need to be called: "heat bombs."

They write, "Recent analysis by World Weather Attribution has already shown that human-caused climate change increased the frequency and intensity of the June heat wave across Europe."

France needs to start thinking about air conditioning units, at least for its older people. Yes, I know A/C makes climate change worse, a little. But there's no sign global warming is slowing down, in fact it's accelerating right now, so people gotta do what they gotta do. 

No, I do not have air conditioning. I really don't like it. Had to use it when I lived in Arizona, but I don't like the feeling of being cloistered in the house. It's the same as cabin fever in the winter. Here in Oregon there are only a few days when it would be nice to have, but at those times I get by with a fan and a few showers a day. But if I were in an apartment building or a French house built in, maybe, 1582, I'd probably use it.

-=-=-

The recent heat wave in Europe also killed an estimated 2.5 to 3 million chickens (New York Times).

“It broke my heart,” said Ms. Renaudier, who had been raising the birds at her family farm in northwestern France for supermarkets, butchers and rotisseries.

The birds were 19 days away from slaughter. But apparently that doesn't break her heart. 

I kind of get it, though. Watching any animal die of excessive heat must be difficult But I kind of don't get it. Yes, I eat chicken, so a few of these deaths are on me.  


Monday, July 06, 2026

The US Men's Soccer Team Deserved to Lose to Belgium

Belgium 4, USA 1. FT

Plain and simple, the US Men's National Team deserved to lose this game. Trump ruins everything he touches, and I don't see how this doesn't lower FIFA's reputation, if they had any left. I know they have a long history of corruption, but this seems so overt, so obsequious, so subservient, so direct, they look like nothing but toads kissing Trump's ass.

The US player who got the red card last game, Folarin Balogun (who said after that game that he accepted it was fair), should have sat out against Belgium. The coach should have ordered it. The team captain should have encouraged it. If the US had won today it would only have gotten worse. 

Kudos to Belgium for bringing it in the face of this moral outrage. That has to feel fantastic. 

Trump is a such a global embarrassment. Perhaps he actually is the anti-Christ. Can you think of a better candidate?

The Coming El Niño Keeps Getting Warmer

3.9°C! That would be utterly amazing. If I recall correctly, past El Niños have had a NINO3.4 anomaly of 2-2.5°C.

July ECMWF runs are in and forecast an even more extreme El Niño event than the prior June runs. ENSO3.4 region temperatures reach 3.9C in December, and forecasts are around 0.3C warmer than they were in June.

[image or embed]

— Zeke Hausfather (@zekehausfather.com) July 6, 2026 at 8:24 AM

12 Groups, Nearly Identical Temperature Records

From Zeke Hausfather on Bluesky:

The global surface temperature record is one of the most iconic figures in climate science. We now have 12 different groups of researchers from the US, UK, EU, Japan, and China (among others) that have calculated it and found nearly identical results:

[image or embed]

— Zeke Hausfather (@zekehausfather.com) July 6, 2026 at 3:08 PM

Saturday, July 04, 2026

More of "Not" by Big Thief

Here's another version of "Not" by Big Thief, sung in a studio. Even more desperate than the first. She's missing a tooth and something seems to propel her even farther. How many people are looking to be an artist & rock star despite a missing tooth, which in America is supposed to be humiliating? Don't think I could do that.

Kurt Vonnegut on Kurt Vonnegut


link.

Thursday, July 02, 2026

Sunday, June 28, 2026

RIP Judith Curry's Climate Etc.

Judith Curry has ended her blog, Climate Etc

Kudos to her commitment to sharing her views widely and allowing a broad and vigorous debate in her comments sections.

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Weird MAGA politicians

What's below is similar to Sarah Palin making fun of fruit fly research, giving it as an example of projects that have little or nothing to do with the public good, saying "Things like fruit fly research in Paris, France. I kid you not." Completely unaware of the importance of fruit fly research to genetics. She should have dropped out as a candidate for VP for the shame alone. But in America isn't OK to say stupid things to the entire nation. Trump2 is, of course, a prime example, the BEST example. But he has competition. Here's a South Carolina representation in the US House going on about something she didn't research or even appear to be interested in except for trying to score a political point. Instead it was an own goal. She already lost her bid for reelection this fall, so she'll be out of Congress. But, probably, unfortunately, not out of the public eye. That's how it goes here now.

The 21st Century is Getting Wild

Oliver in Summer

My cat Oliver has relocated to his summer lair. He spends most days out there, or laying in the yard. Maybe you can see him peaking at the camera.

Solar > Coal in May in USA

 In May in the US solar contributed more electric power than coal:

New York, 10 June 2026 – Solar overtook coal generation in the US electricity mix for the first month on record in May 2026, according to official monthly and preliminary hourly generation data analysed by global energy think tank Ember. Solar supplied a record 12.8% of US electricity, while coal fell to 12.2%, its fourth-lowest monthly share ever.

Source: https://ember-energy.org/latest-updates/solar-overtakes-coal-in-us-electricity-for-the-first-month-on-record/

I keep track of the weekly coal production (in the US). Here's how it's gone in recent years (sorry for not making a pretty graph):



US coal production peaked in 2007-2009. It's been downhill since and is now lower than 1980. I feel sorry for coal miners, and a decent administration would be very active in training these men & women for other jobs, or retiring those older than about (?) 45. 

Trump2 recently gave the coal mining industry $700 million to restore coal power plants and such; meanwhile this idiot has spent $2.5 billion to shut down wind power. 

This article says he will lose his fight against renewable energy, with the subhead:

"Market forces are stronger than MAGA." 

Sunday, June 14, 2026

Greta Says Happy Birthday to Trump

From a Guardian article soliciting birthday greetings for Trump's 80th birthday:

Ouch.

Thursday, June 11, 2026

Warming Up To 2025: 1.37°C

These latest numbers imply 1.5°C of total global warming in just four years. 2.0°C of warming in 2049. It's coming on fast now. Here's the paper.

Our 2026 Indicators of Global Climate Change paper is out! We find that the human-induced warming was 1.37C in 2025, and the current rate of warming is 0.27C per year, on track to firmly pass 1.5C in about four years: essd.copernicus.org/...

[image or embed]

— Zeke Hausfather (@hausfath.bsky.social) June 11, 2026 at 4:42 PM

Friday, June 05, 2026

El Niño is Coming on Strong

 Sea surface temperatures for the Nino 3.4 region:

and for the global average sea surface temperature:

Both graphs via Tropical TidBits.