Note 6/10 2:20 pm: Oops, this is the graph is for Mays. I've put the graph for all months down at the bottom. Sorry.
Here's a graph Berkeley Earth presented today:
The trend, a 30-year LOESS smooth regression (the thin red line), is a little over 1.3°C right now. Their trend is 0.20°C/decade, perhaps (paper coming out next month) 0.25°C/decade.
That means the trend line will hit 1.5°C in about a decade. The 2023-2024 warming spike will then appear relatively cool from that perspective.
0.25°C/decade is a monstrous value. (Even 0.20°C/decade is.) It's hard to get one's head around it, it's such a rapid increase. It's changing the future incredibly fast. It's like the last ice age global maximum went to the Holocene in only 240 years, instead of the actual 12,000 years it actually took. Warming now is 50 times faster.
It's just worthless now to talk about limiting warming to 1.5°C. It will not happen, hard stop. At that point 2.0°C will be here by 2055-2060, looking also a done deal. It's tragic, and absolute failure of world leadership. The worst failure in human history.
Extremely discouraging.
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Added, as noted at the beginning of the post: Average global temperatures for all months:
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