China's population fell for the first time last year, by 185,000 (-0.01%) compared to 2021. And India now has more people than China, by 5.0 million in 2022.
It's hard to understand the curve in light of the one child policy that started in 1980 and ended in 2016. It doesn't look like the population started to stabilize until 2000, and didn't stop until the policy was abandoned in 2016.
As the one-child policy started in 1980, wouldn't the absence of children start to show around 1998 (=1980+18), as many children weren't born since they would have been the 2nd child.
Then wouldn't a second period of lost population started around when those missing children would have had their own children, starting about 2016 (=1998+18)?
Or am I trying too hard?
I was also wondering if the pandemic might have had a little effect on 1) increased deaths, 2) fewer births, and that led to the slight population decrease in 2022 compared to 2021.
3 comments:
It's hard to understand the curve in light of the one child policy that started in 1980 and ended in 2016. It doesn't look like the population started to stabilize until 2000, and didn't stop until the policy was abandoned in 2016.
Maybe life expectancy increased over the period?
As the one-child policy started in 1980, wouldn't the absence of children start to show around 1998 (=1980+18), as many children weren't born since they would have been the 2nd child.
Then wouldn't a second period of lost population started around when those missing children would have had their own children, starting about 2016 (=1998+18)?
Or am I trying too hard?
I was also wondering if the pandemic might have had a little effect on 1) increased deaths, 2) fewer births, and that led to the slight population decrease in 2022 compared to 2021.
That makes sense.
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