Here's a graph from Skinner 2012 that I've never seen before and I'm surprised I've never seen it before--the climate sensitivity from many climate events, warming and cooling, in the distant past:
This is from
"A Long View on Climate Sensitivity," Luke Skinner
Science 24 Aug 2012, Vol. 337, Issue 6097, pp. 917-919
(paywalled). The individual climate sensitivities--the amount of global warming that may be expected as a result of a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration--vary, in part because every climate event starts in a different climate and so won't trace the same warming path as any other. Still there's apparently not a lot of variation between events.
The author gives 12 pairs of data for the different in supplementary material (also paywalled). From it I get a best linear fit to this graph of
ΔT/ΔF = 0.704°C/(W/m2)
which, using the definition of climate sensitivity λ
where α is this proportionality constant equal to 5.35 W/m2. Plugging in the numbers
and that quite enough LaTeX for one day. (Like all physics graduate students, I used to be a wiz in LaTeX back then.)
The IPCC 6AR gives a climate sensitivity of 2.5 - 4.0°C, so there is some agreement.
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