Sunday, June 16, 2013

BEST Paper: AMO is Best Correlation with Global Temperatures

And to think I just gave Judith Curry grief for ignoring ocean warming.

OK, it's not exactly the same thing, but the BEST team has a paper out in JGR: Atmospheres:
Muller, R. A., J. Curry, D. Groom, R. Jacobsen, S. Perlmutter, R. Rohde, A. Rosenfeld, C. Wickham, and J. Wurtele (2013), Decadal variations in the global atmospheric land temperatures, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50458.
Its abstract reads:

Their most relevant figure is

showing that the AMO has a better correlation with surface temperatures than does the PDO. (But not by a huge amount. But I need to read the paper in full to better understand.)

The AMO is currently in its warm phase, since the mid-1990s, and the PDO its cool phase. So, I think, this finding would imply a new cooling influence on surface temperatures (countering the enhanced greenhouse effect) until about the mid-2020s....

1 comment:

Jay Alt said...

My scan of the Wiki AMO article suggests that their paper covers no new ground. The conclusions they reach don't differ much from those summarized online.