The United Nations says:
Heat claims more than 175,000 lives annually in Europe, latest data shows, 2 Aug 2024
This deserves more scrutiny than I can give it right now, just thought I'd put this up here. But it's a number larger than I would have guessed, by a factor of 2 or 3 or 5 or 10.
2 comments:
I dunno. There are 750 million people in Europe. I'm not sure how to evaluate whether 175,000 is a reasonable estimate. On the surface it doesn't seem crazy to me that heat stress could have been involved in some way in that many deaths.
I'm not able to find any data that would help identify a trend.
Back of the envelope.
If 750 million people live on average for 70 years you would expect a death rate of 750 million/70 which is 10.7 million deaths per year.
If 175,000 of them are heat related that is 175000*100/10.7 million which is 1.6%.
Is it reasonable for 1.6% of deaths to be heat related? The equivalent for the UK in 2022 was 0.45%.
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