You know what that means?
If it happens it means that contrarians will suddenly understand the need to correct for ENSOs when figuring out the underlying temperature trend.
Also, it will mean the accuracy of surface stations will again be disputed. Isn't it funny how during "the pause" the surface station record has been just fine? Anthony Watts in 2009:
"The reliability of data used to document temperature trends is of great importance in this debate. We can't know for sure if global warming is a problem if we can't trust the data."Added:
— Is the U.S. Surface Temperature Record Reliable?, 2009
In a Huffington Post story about the forecast, Kevin Trenberth says:
"This could be a substantial event and I think we're due. And I think it could have major consequences....The article also notes that an El Nino could bring much needed rain to California and the American southwest.
Trenberth said this El Nino may even push the globe out of a decade-long slowdown in temperature increase, "so suddenly global warming kicks into a whole new level."