La Nina is Looking a Bit Shy This Year

The planet seems a little hesitant to jump into a La Nina, as measured by the sea surface temperature anomaly in the Nino 3.4 region.

Still, the last forecast for a La Nina this fall is over 70%, from Columbia's IRI. The forecasts come out monthly, usually around the middle of the month. Should be a new one soon.

Of course, should a La Nina happen the global mean surface temperature will drop, and that will mean manmade global warming is over and was never true in the first place and there's no greenhouse effect either because, like, the Second Law of Thermodynamics. Dummies.