Wednesday, June 24, 2020

COVID-19 Rising in Arizona Beyond Extra Testing

Here's a retweet of a tweet showing hospitalizations for COVID-19 in Arizona since April 8th. They're rapidly increasing. Presumably you have to have a serious case of COVID-19 to seek hospitalization, not just a slight case that extra testing might pick up. So COVID-19 seems definitely on the rise in Arizona. Just the right time to hold a rally with 3,000 tightly packed, unmasked (in a city were masks were required) people cheering and shouting for a man who clearly does not care less how much damage he inflicts. It's criminal; even treasonous.

Steven Dennis, the original tweeter, is a Bloomberg reporter.

4 comments:

Layzej said...

The 7 day mean of tests/cases has been falling since 2020-06-15. It's now back to where it was on 2020-06-01. Data is available here: https://covid.ourworldindata.org/data/owid-covid-data.xlsx

Entropic man suggested the following test:

"if the proportion of people infected falls, then the tests per case ratio will increase, as your graph shows. Good news.

I suggest that you keep this graph going. If the tests per case ratio starts falling, you will know that you are in trouble."
- https://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=28837843&postID=7102407337624879799

It looks like the growth in cases is now outpacing the growth in testing.

David in Cal said...

Layzej, I tend to agree that there probably is a real growth in the number of newly infected people. Still, the rise in tests is most impressive. Yesterday's number was 640,465.

Cheers

Layzej said...

640,465 is impressive, but the 7 day mean of tests/case is now back down to where it was on 5/23. Testing is not keeping pace with the rise in cases.

USA currently has 14.76 tests/case and falling. Canada is at 128.25 and rising.

David Appell said...

Wow, Canada has almost 9 times the testing rate of the US.

See, it's just a matter of will, and nothing more. And much of that comes down to political will, and having a leader who makes sane choices.