Wednesday, March 18, 2020

Stunning Numbers

I checked worldometer at 2:40 pm PT, and there were 8,442 cases.

I checked again at 5:40 pm PT, and there were 9,269 cases.

The time interval of exactly 3 hours (1/8th day) was a coincidence. The daily increase rate for this interval is 111% per day.

But the afternoons are an active time for reporting, and it falls off considerably overnight. So likely tomorrow the daily rate will be far below this. But it's looking to be about 40% again in a day.

Just a hair under 3,000 cases since 7 pm PT last night.

35 new deaths already since 6 am PT. Tomorrow will see the largest daily increase yet.


Entropic man said...

“The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.”
― Albert A. Bartlett

Entropic man said...

This is interesting. Results of an analysis comparing the effect of different options on case load.


I would imagine that CDC is telling President Trump something similar.