That's what Tony Barnston of Columbia University's
International Research Institute on Climate and Society says -- the El Nino is developing right now, but could be of more moderate strength. He finds a probability it could die (like in 2012) of 25%:
May 2014 Climate Briefing Highlights, with Tony Barnston from IRI on Vimeo.
Here is
their map of sea-surface temperatures, and below is the
Nino3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly updated for this week, compared to two recent El Ninos; you can see it has been having its own little hiatus, and took a dip down this week:
Via
Andrew Revkin on Twitter.
1 comment:
Great update. Global temperatures are clearly an important part of the public perception. This year has started very warm despite being under the influence of mostly ENSO neutral conditions.
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